A MIGHTY FALL: Abaco GDP down 60 percent from five-year high due to Dorian and pandemic

A MIGHTY FALL: Abaco GDP down 60 percent from five-year high due to Dorian and pandemic
Elbow Cay, Abaco. (BIS PHOTO/YONTALAY BOWE)

NASSAU, BAHAMAS — Abaco’s gross domestic product (GDP) fell nearly 60 percent in 2020 from a five-year high of just under $600 million in 2018, according to data released by the Department of Statistics, with the island’s Chamber of Commerce president noting that post-Dorian reconstruction will likely be the island’s primary economic driver in the medium term.

According to the Department of Statistics’ first-ever report presenting advanced estimates for GDP by island from 2015 to 2020, Abaco’s GDP in 2015 was $530 million; $504 million in 2016; $586 million in 2017; $596 million in 2018; $389 million in 2019; and $243 million in 2020.

“The GDP of Abaco for 2015 to 2020 showed that its contribution to GDP shrank from 4.5 percent to 2.4 percent of the total Bahamian economy,” the Department of Statistics noted.

“For many years, Abaco has maintained its position as the third largest island contributor to the overall economy of The Bahamas. However, in 2019, the devastation of Hurricane Dorian reduced the GDP of Abaco by 35 percent, to be followed in 2020 by a further 38 percent year-over-year contraction caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.

“The combined industrial group that experienced the greatest reduction in 2020 was accommodation, food services and arts, other services, household employment and extraterritorial org.”

Abaco Chamber of Commerce President Ken Hutton.

Ken Hutton, the Abaco Chamber of Commerce president, told Eyewitness News: “The only thing that has returned to pre-Dorian levels is activity at the Marsh Harbour Airport. The Marsh Harbour Airport is the second busiest airport in the country.”

Hutton added: “I think we have, at minimum, three to five years of reconstruction. That will likely be the primary economic driver. I don’t think tourism is going to catch up to construction within the next few years.

“The resorts on the cays are doing extremely well. They are solidly booked, on Green Turtle, Guana Cay and Hope Town. The Great Abaco Beach Hotel has been hosting successful fishing tournaments. Winding Bay in the southern part of the island is doing extremely well. They are at capacity as well.

“It’s just the central business district of Marsh Harbour and Treasure Cay that is wiped out.”